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          Analysis of Seismic Events Recorded with a
         Slow 
          Motion Tape Recorder near Chateau
         Tongariro, 
          New Zealand during February 18, 1966 
          to December 31, 1966 
          
         G. R. T. CLACY 
          
         Abstract 
          
         Volcanic prediction using slow motion tape recorders
         suitably situated near a volcano, produce good correlations
         when frequency analysis techniques are used with total
         energy from semi-continuous tremors, apparent explosions
         determined to disregard tectonic events. 
          
         Introduction 
          
         Near Chateau Tongariro, situated on the lower slopes of Mt.
         Ruapehu, a seismometer (0.8 c/s natural period) and a slow
         motion tape recording seismograph (DIBBLE, 1964) are
         installed recording the seismic events in this region. The
         seismometer was installed at the end of 1959 up to the end
         of 1964 about 15 metres ENE from the Volcanological
         Observatory building (E 303' 900-N 370 755). Owing to
         building activity this site had to be abandoned and a
         provisional site was established at the Ski Patrol hut (E
         305 600 - N 370 400) during 1965. A new site about 60 metres
         ENE (E 304 500 - N 375 750) coinciding with the recording
         site of the Chateau station of the Seismological Volcanic
         Observatory, was occupied in the beginning of 1966. An
         analysis of the seismic events recorded at the last site
         from Feb. 12, 1966 to Dec. 31, 1966 is given in this
         report. 
          
         Analysis of Seismic Events 
          
         For analysing the seismic events the signals originally
         recorded with a speed of 0.2 mm/sec were played back with a
         speed of 9.5 cm/sec. The amplified signals have
         simultaneously been studied by ear, monitored on a display
         oscilloscope and reproduced on a pen chart recorder. 
         Seismic events identified by ear have been marked on the
         chart records. A detailed analysis of the seismic signals in
         the frequency spectrum from 0.5 c/s to 45 c/s was made, a
         Rayspan Frequency Analyser (continuous sweep presented on 35
         mm film) was used. A schematic diagram of the recording and
         analysing systems is given in Fig. 1. An example of the pen
         chart record is given in Fig. 2. 
           
         FIG. 1 above - Schematic diagrams for
         record and analysis systems. 
           
         FIG. 2 above - Initial evaluation chart,
         period during 16 to 25 July, 1966. 
         Presentation of Results 
          
         In playing back the tapes at a speed 475 times faster than
         the recording speed, the seismic events become audible. The
         terminology describing the various events, was derived at
         from this practice and frequency analysis (see, Table 1).
         Besides counting the number of certain events during the
         time intervals of one day and presenting these figures in
         histographs (Fig. 3) we have also plotted the average
         amplitude of the tremor versus time as given by the pen
         chart record, together with the temperature of crater lake
         (on the top of Ruapehu) (Fig. 3). It is not clear if the
         number of local earthquakes (L and VL) can be correlated
         with the volcanic activity manifested by visible activity,
         temperature and acidity of the lake. Specific local seismic
         events classified as sharp bursts of tremor (b and Rb),
         tremor of mixed frequencies (Rf ), tremor. of wide frequency
         range (Rd) and x chuffing >> and harmonic tremors (Rc
         and Rh), however, seem to be related with volcanic activity.
         A correlation between Rb and the average amplitude of the
         tremor R is indicated in Fig. 3. Since the amplitude of R
         and the occurrence of Rb and Rf show also the same
         relationship with the volcanic activity (temperature of lake
         in Fig. 3 for example) the occurrence of Rd, Rc and Rh have
         been observed and are *marked by a dark line. It can be seen
         that Rd occurs more frequently in the relatively quiet
         periods of the volcanic activity, Whereas Rc and Rh have
         only been observed during the peak of volcanic activity,
         after the steam eruption of 24 July 1966. Since average
         amplitude of tremor R is related to the volcanic activity,
         it is justified to describe tremor as volcanic ground
         noise. 
          
         Seismic Events Related with Steam Eruption on 24
         July 1966. 
          
         The most outstanding event of visible activity during 1966,
         was the steam eruption on 24 July 1966, about 10.00 am.
         NZST. A detailed frequency analysis of seismic events during
         the period from 16-25 July 1966 is given in Fig. 4. This
         figure, together with Fig. 2 which covers the same period,
         shows that nothing spectacular happened before and after the
         event. The tremor amplitude about two days before the steam
         eruption, was low and stopped for about one hour,
         immediately after the eruption, followed by about a period
         of 7 hours with dominant Rh tremor. 
          
          
          
          
         Continued on page 4 TABLE
         1 
          
         Terms Used on Evaluation Charts, Diagrams and in the
         Text 
          
         b Apparent explosions or sharp bursts of tremor, not
         affecting tremor amplitudes 
         before or after event. 
         R Volcanic tremor, narrow frequency range 1 to 3 c/s. 
         Rb Apparent explosions or sharp burst of tremor simultaneous
         with start of tremor. 
         Rc Chuffing tremor, appears apparently during dying phase of
         activity. 
         Rd Volcanic tremor of wide frequency range, sometimes with
         rapidly varying power 
         spectrum. 
         Rf Volcanic tremor of mixed high (9 to 12 c/s) and low (1 to
         3 c/s) frequencies, 
         occurring for short periods. 
         Rh Harmonic tremor, as (Wh) on all records made before
         9-9-67 and known as 
         whistle phenomena. A high frequency harmonic of R, directly
         related to gas 
         emissions of the volcano concerned. 
         L Local earthquake distance between 30 and 1000 km,
         indicated by time interval 
         between P and S arrivals. 
         VI, Very local earthquake distance less than 30 km,
         indicated by time interval 
         between P and S arrivals. 
         P Deep earthquake, P sharp compared to S arrival. 
         W Wind and rain. 
         X Instrumental, not seismic. 
         m Microseisms, as for oceans and lakes. 
         A Artificial man made noises. 
          
         Seismic Events Interpreted as of Volcanic Origin with
         Relation to Frequency Spectrum 
          
         1 c/s to 3 c/s Volcanic tremor (R), dominant frequency 1 c/s
         to 2 c/s. 
         1 c/s to 5 c/s Apparent explosions (b and Rb), dominant
         frequency 1 c/s to 2 c/s. 
         1 c/s to 7 c/s Volcanic tremor (Rd), dominant frequencies
         between 1 c/s and 3 c/s. 
         9 c/s to 12 c/s Volcanic tremor of high frequency (Rf)
         normally superimposed on 
         tremor (R). 
          
         Average Amplitude of Volcanic Tremor (R) 
         Amplitude ranges of (R) mentioned in text and in Figures 2,
         3 and 5, are readily taken from the initial evaluation
         charts. The approximate equivalent amplitude of the ground
         motion at 2 c/s from February 20, 1966. 
          
         HIGH 0.6 microns and above. 
         Medium 0.4 to 0.6 microns. 
         Low up to 0.4 microns. 
          
         These levels were determined by test signals between 40 and
         400 microvolts fed into the tape seismograph input, and the
         corresponding ground amplitudes have been taken from the
         calibration charts as shown in the manual for the Willmore
         seismometer. 
           
         FIG. 3 - Histograms of tape seismic
         events. 
          
         But if we consider the seismic events throughout the whole
         year (see Fig. 3) there is an identification of build-up -
         of seismic activity, preceding the steam eruption. In
         February and March R was prominent but not accompanied by a
         great number of N = b + Rb events (b + Rb = 7) although the
         temperature of the lake increased up to 47 C on 20-3-1966.
         Later the temperature dropped again, and the number N was 5
         up to 12-6-1966 when N suddenly increased, reaching a peak
         value N = 11 on 17 July 1966 and dropped sharply to N = 3
         between 19 and 21-7-1966; the occurrence of b + Rb reached a
         second peak on 23-7-1966 (N = 11) shortly after which the
         steam eruption took place. The lake temperature had also
         risen to 53 C on 25-7-1966.' During the steam eruption lake
         seisching was observed and a few fragments of fresh lava
         were thrown out of the lake (W. T. LLOYD, pers, comm.). 
          
         Comparison of Seismic Events (Rb + b and R) during 1964 with
         Those during 1966. 
          
         Visible volcanic activity similar to that during 1966 was
         observed during May and June 1964, although in 1964
         apparently no steam eruption took place, and the visible
         activity was more gradual. 
           
         FIG. 4 - Rayspan frequency analysis of
         events direct from tape 0 to 5 c/s, period from 16 to
         25-7-66. 
          
         In order to find out if the seismic events during the
         periods of visible activity in 1964 and in 1966 show a
         relation, the number of Rb + b and the average tremor
         amplitude R are plotted in a histogram (Fig. 5). It can be
         seen that in 1964 the occurrence of Rb + b was less N = 3
         before and after visible activity, than in 1.966. Tremor
         before the visible activity during April 1964 is also more
         continuous than in 1966, and is not accompanied by tremor
         explosions. The number of Rb + b in 1964 also peak values N
         = 10 during the visible activity. In 1964 the lake also
         heated up to 54 C on the 26th of April 
          
         Conclusions 
          
         An analysis of seismic events, recorded with a slow motion
         tape recorder near Chateau Tongariro, on the lower slopes of
         Ruapehu during the period 18-2 to 31-12-1966 has shown that
         certain local seismic events are related to the visible
         volcanic activity of Ruapehu. The number of sharp bursts of
         so called tremors Rb + b and the average amplitude of the
         tremors seem to be directly related to the visible
         activity. 
           
         FIG. 6 - A comparison of the average
         frequency spectra as applied to the stations (co-ordinates
         stated in introduction), for the arrivals of all tectonic
         and volcanic events *. 
          
         A comparison of the histogram of Rb + b events during 1966
         with that of 1964 when visible volcanic activity occurred,
         also plots have shown that a potential eruption is indicated
         if there is a sharp build up of Rb + b events, and N = 10
         during a period of less than one week, which is associated
         with tremor R = high. It is recommended that if such a
         situation occurs in the future a warning should be given to
         the Tongariro National Park. 
          
         * Figure 6 shows the frequency determination, for the
         division of tectonic and volcanic events that are used in
         the histogram, from all observed apparent explosions and
         earthquakes. 
          
         Acknowledgements 
          
         The author wishes to thank Dr. T. Hatherton, and R. R.
         Dibble for advice. Messrs J. Healy, G. Jenkins, D.
         Dickinson, R. Ford, J. Scobie, and Members of the Tongariro
         National Park Rangers who assisted in obtaining the observed
         and recorded information. Dr. Glover for the temperature
         information. Dr. H. Taziell and Dr. R. W. Decker for their
         encouragement. 
          
         References 
          
         DiBBLE, R. R., 1964, A Slow Motion Tape Recording
         Seismograph for Geophysical Purposes. N. Z. J. Geol. &
         Geophys., 7, No. 3. 
          
         FINCH, R. H., 1949, Volcanic Tremor, Part 1. Bull. Seism.
         Soc. Amer., 39, No. 2, p. 73-78. 
         Manuscript received Jan., 1971 
         
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